Rate Watch · Every Thursday

A 3-minute weekly read on rates, equity, and homeowner moves.

No fluff, no spam. Just the market signals our advisors actually use to time refis, lock-ins, and equity decisions.

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  • Weekly rate snapshot with the why, not just the number
  • One actionable move per issue (refi check, lock signal, etc.)
  • Sent Thursdays at 7am ET — readable in 3 minutes

Recent issues

A taste of what lands in your inbox.

April 11, 2026

30-yr fixed: 6.42%

Spring inventory finally cracks: 3 markets where buyers regain leverage

Active listings jumped 18% YoY in Phoenix, Tampa, and Boise — what it means for offers and contingencies.

April 4, 2026

30-yr fixed: 6.49%

FOMC stays put — but the bond market doesn't agree

The Fed held rates steady, yet 10-year yields slipped 11 bps. Why mortgage rates moved opposite of expectations.

March 28, 2026

30-yr fixed: 6.55%

Refi window opens: who actually breaks even before 24 months

We ran the math for borrowers locked at 7.25%+. The break-even is shorter than most assume — three scenarios.

March 21, 2026

30-yr fixed: 6.61%

HELOC vs. cash-out refi: the spread tightens

Prime is holding, but cash-out spreads narrowed 40 bps this month. The decision flips for a lot of borrowers.

March 14, 2026

30-yr fixed: 6.58%

Self-employed borrowers: 2 underwriting changes worth knowing

Two major investors loosened P&L-only documentation guidelines. Here's who qualifies under the new rules.

March 7, 2026

30-yr fixed: 6.63%

First-time buyer programs you probably haven't heard of

State-level DPA programs are sitting on unspent funds. We mapped 7 in markets we lend in.